Moscow has renounced its position as mediator and guarantor in the Caucasus area. Whether due to political calculation or a shortage of military resources due to the conflict in Ukraine.
Moscow suffered a diplomatic loss with the launch of the Azerbaijani onslaught. In Nagorno-Karabakh on Tuesday, September 19. A 1,960-strong Russian “peacekeeping” force was tasked with overseeing. The implementation of the November 2020 peace agreement and, theoretically, ensuring on-the-ground security. The accord was mediated by Russia.
Instead, Moscow has allowed the situation to worsen and has done. Nothing to stop the Azerbaijani side from planning the siege of Nagorno-Karabakh for close to a year. Russia has renounced its position as arbiter and guarantor, whether due to a lack of political. Will or military resources (perhaps as a result of a depleted force currently fighting in Ukraine). Whether in the Caucasus or Central Asia. It has once again shown that it is unable to guarantee stability in the region that it considers to be in its backyard.
Russian response at a minimum
Moscow’s initial response to the most recent escalation of the conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh only serves to affirm its status as an impartial observer. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs issued a statement calling “on both parties to the conflict” to put an end to it, which seems like a minimal diplomatic response and ignores the obvious reality that Azerbaijan purposefully started the conflict.
The Telegram channel Rybar, which diligently tracks the battle in the area and has connections to the Russian army, even went so far as to claim on Tuesday that there were attempts to “discredit” the Russian mission and Moscow’s role as the security guarantor.